A Reassessment of Presidential Campaign Strategy Formation and Candidate Resource Allocation
Research Question
Do classic claims about how presidential campaigns form Electoral College strategy and allocate resources survive replication with the correct methods?
Main Finding
When the models are correctly implemented, key substantive conclusions from the original study disappear. Predictors of strategy formation and strategy effects on resource allocation are no longer robust.
Research Design
Methodological replication and reanalysis of a widely cited campaign-strategy study, with direct comparison between reported and correctly estimated models.
Data Employed
State-level campaign-strategy and allocation data from presidential elections (1988-1996), re-estimated using the methods claimed in the original article.
Substantive Importance
The paper demonstrates the importance of replication and model transparency in cumulative social science, especially when influential findings shape broader literatures.
Research Areas
Campaign Strategy, Presidential Elections, Replication, Quantitative Methods, Research Transparency
Citation
@article{reassessment-long,
author = {Reeves, Andrew and Chen, Lanhee J. and Nagano, Tiffany},
title = {{A Reassessment of Presidential Campaign Strategy Formation and Candidate Resource Allocation}},
volume = {Typescript},
year = {2003},
}